Game Plan Intelligence
Real 2025-26 data · 37 games · our play-by-play, same as the opponent cardWhat matters most against Houston, ranked. Each item shows what we found, why it matters to how we play, and what we'd do about it.
Their creator, Kingston Flemings: 22.7% three · 22.1% rim · 28.1% paint · 26.0% mid-range · 24.4 shots per 100
Real 2025-26 data · 37 games · our play-by-play, same as the opponent card
What matters most against Houston
2 prioritiesKeep their creator out of the paint: drop his ball screens
Shot mix: 22.7% three · 22.1% rim · 28.1% paint · 26.0% mid-range
Load: 24.4 shots · 9.7 ast · 3.5 tov per 100
We have a written coverage for every high ball screen. Which one we use is decided by the handler in front of us, not by habit. Kingston Flemings's measured shot mix (22.7% three, 22.1% rim) selected Drop and eliminated the coverages our own document says concede that shot.
Drop — Keep the screener's defender at the dotted line, protecting the rim and conceding the jumper.
The numbers are real, but one film question decides it.
— Where do Kingston Flemings's attempts actually come from — ball screens, isolation, or transition? If his shots don't come from ball screens, this coverage call doesn't apply — check five or six of his makes and misses.
How does Kingston Flemings generate most of his attempts?
If his shots don't come from ball screens, our pick-and-roll rules aren't the answer for him — check five or six of his makes and misses before you commit to this.
Whether Drop applies at all, and whether this stays a primary recommendation.
Don't give up threes when we help
Chris Cenac Jr. shot mix: 30.5% three at 33.6%
Team shot profile: 40.1% of attempts from three at 1.04 points per shot
Recent trend: -3.7 pts of three share
Our screener rules are standing rules: we drop at the dotted line by default, and we switch same-size and late-clock actions. That is our basketball, not a read on them. Chris Cenac Jr. clears our own definition of a shooting big (30.5% of 295 attempts from three at 33.6%), so the pop our drop concedes is a live shot in this game.
Switch same size — Switch like-sized matchups on occasion as directed by the scouting report, and kill the possession late clock.
Soft — Play the screener's defender at the free-throw line in ball-defender-basket line, then treat the resulting action like a blitz rotation.
The numbers are real, but one film question decides it.
— Does Chris Cenac Jr. roll, pop, short roll or slip after setting a high screen? Our coverage branches on that, and we cannot measure it.
After a high ball screen, what does Chris Cenac Jr. do?
Our coverage rules branch directly on it, it moves the late-clock rehearsal too, and no field in our data contains it.
Whether we drop, switch, or prepare the short-roll rotation.
When trapped on the ball screen, what is their first read?
It does not change the coverage we start in, but it tells us whether we are willing to blitz at all and how the back line rotates.
Whether we are willing to blitz at all.
Not strong enough to change the plan — worth being ready for
2 itemsNot enough to change our base plan. Each one gets a counter we rehearse or something to watch for early in the game.
What we call once they show us a coverage
PrepareOur own rule applies here regardless of what we learn about them.
No field in our data identifies opponent coverages. Nothing in this row is data-derived.
Watchthe first three to five relevant possessions in this situation. If confirmed: Stay with Thumb down and keep the emphasis. If not: Fall back to our base coverage and flag it for the half.
Their rotation shape, as far as our data supports it
PrepareThe available sample points toward substitution data lets us reconstruct stints for their rotation players We hold that as a working belief.
Stints rebuilt from ESPN substitution events in score-reconciled games; a half whose starting five cannot be rebuilt is left out.
Watchthe first three to five relevant possessions in this situation. If confirmed: Stay with A screen is no excuse and keep the emphasis. If not: Fall back to our base coverage and flag it for the half.
Worth someone's ten minutes
3 questionsQuestions where the answer changes what we do. Ten minutes of film per question.
How does Kingston Flemings generate most of his attempts?
If his shots don't come from ball screens, our pick-and-roll rules aren't the answer for him — check five or six of his makes and misses before you commit to this. Affects 1 recommendation and can change a call. Scout effort: Five or six of his makes and misses.
Our data gives us shot location but never the action behind it. Our coverage rules are written for ball screens.
Whether Drop applies at all, and whether this stays a primary recommendation.
Five or six of his makes and misses. Note what preceded the shot, not the shot itself.
After a high ball screen, what does Chris Cenac Jr. do?
Our coverage rules branch directly on it, it moves the late-clock rehearsal too, and no field in our data contains it. Affects 3 recommendations and can change a call. Scout effort: Three or four screens in one half.
Our own coverage rules branch on screener behaviour, and no field in our data contains it.
Whether we drop, switch, or prepare the short-roll rotation.
Three or four of his screens in the first half. Ignore the outcome; watch his feet after contact.
When trapped on the ball screen, what is their first read?
It does not change the coverage we start in, but it tells us whether we are willing to blitz at all and how the back line rotates. Affects 1 recommendation without changing a call. Scout effort: Any possession where a defence traps.
Our blitz rotation rules assume the ball goes back to the screener. If they split or skip instead, our rotation is wrong.
Whether we are willing to blitz at all.
Any possession where a defence traps. Watch the ball, not the screener.
The plan, in one page
Nothing is on the plan yet. Coach Ready proposes; the staff decides. Mark rows above as on the plan and they collect here.
— It hasn't seen film. How they run actions, their spacing and their effort still need your eyes.
— It only knows this season's box-score and shot data, not who guards whom or what they changed last week.
— It matches their numbers to our calls by rule. The call is still the staff's.
Opponent measurements: real our play-by-play 2025-26 data. Named calls: this program's own playbook material. Coach decisions, scouting answers and taught rules are stored in this browser only. Coach Ready does not learn automatically — it stores, structures and reapplies what the staff tells it.